Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.251975 0.291028 0.335363 0.389670 0.454740 0.530624 0.626431
2025-10-19 0.192651 0.243186 0.307035 0.394736 0.513823 0.672467 0.904206
2025-10-26 0.160983 0.216592 0.292549 0.406276 0.576487 0.828927 1.245814
2025-11-02 0.137800 0.194675 0.277202 0.409520 0.623904 0.971827 1.611102
2025-11-09 0.120266 0.176802 0.263022 0.409439 0.663379 1.109485 2.012554
2025-11-16 0.106136 0.161342 0.249167 0.405895 0.694482 1.238891 2.444295
2025-11-23 0.094312 0.147547 0.235385 0.399103 0.717084 1.357097 2.897885
2025-11-30 0.087527 0.140896 0.232231 0.410146 0.775224 1.561774 3.634214
2025-12-07 0.079116 0.130309 0.220546 0.402777 0.794174 1.687369 4.232472
2025-12-14 0.073269 0.123438 0.214495 0.405159 0.834110 1.872999 5.089232
2025-12-21 0.067912 0.116779 0.207869 0.405066 0.868324 2.055423 6.039079
2025-12-28 0.064535 0.113362 0.206951 0.416823 0.933240 2.340454 7.508184
2026-01-04 0.060977 0.109294 0.204402 0.425031 0.993013 2.638126 9.261353
2026-01-11 0.057637 0.105297 0.201511 0.432092 1.052374 2.960858 11.398309
2026-01-18 0.055141 0.102695 0.201186 0.445229 1.132367 3.385914 14.416729
2026-01-25 0.052124 0.098697 0.197317 0.448900 1.186417 3.748132 17.527311
2026-02-01 0.049128 0.094433 0.192324 0.448821 1.229468 4.092149 20.966777
2026-02-08 0.046156 0.089930 0.186254 0.444871 1.259600 4.402596 24.630921
2026-02-15 0.043234 0.085262 0.179272 0.437300 1.276180 4.667799 28.394917
2026-02-22 0.041779 0.083674 0.179372 0.449611 1.365013 5.303290 36.172319
2026-03-01 0.039264 0.079490 0.172737 0.441395 1.378501 5.595857 41.578669
2026-03-08 0.037545 0.076963 0.169909 0.444051 1.433860 6.134637 50.645269
2026-03-15 0.035816 0.074264 0.166355 0.443946 1.479118 6.653263 60.907290